David Kim is the co-founder of FantasyPros, a site that aggregates and organizes advice from all the top fantasy football sources. You can follow FantasyPros on Twitter.
My 3-year old daughter holds me accountable for every promise I make. She once gave me a “timeout” for forgetting to pack her Rapunzel doll. If only we could demand as much accountability in the world of fantasy football prognostication, we might have a little better guidance on how to dominate our drafts. And given all the player movement this preseason, quality advice is in high demand.
Well, one of our goals at FantasyPros is to measure each expert’s advice in a completely objective and transparent way so there’s at least some level of accountability. If all the sites say that they provide the most accurate advice, who are we to believe? And, who actually remembers all the sleepers and bold predictions from last season? We’ve been keeping score the last couple of years, so I summarized our findings in this short accuracy cheat sheet.
Top Overall Experts by Year
Top Position Experts by Year
Top Experts for 2010 Draft (Preseason Rankings)
*The Kicker position is not included in our Overall Scoring, but Mike Herman deserves attention because he lapped the field in kicker accuracy. That happens to be his specialty (in fact, it’s the only position that he submits rankings for), so kudos to Mike.
In terms of the field, we’re tracking over 70 fantasy football experts this year. This number has grown from the 21 and 41 experts we tracked in 2009 and 2010. You can easily visit the sites of these experts by visiting our main accuracy rankings.
The key takeaways from our two years of data are:
It’s probably a good time to mention that we’re not the only providers of accuracy data. Sara Holladay, another guest columnist here, has been tracking preseason rankings for several years now. I would encourage you to view her work. Our assessment uses a completely different methodology and measures both draft and in-season accuracy. We primarily focus on the latter since it provides, in our opinion, much better data to work with (since injuries and other unpredictable factors are minimized). It also provides significantly more data to work with (16 sets of rankings vs. just 1).
We’ll be providing updates during the season here at The Fifth Down. What I’m most excited about, however, is that we’ll be working with the Sablich Brothers this season to provide a way to track the accuracy of you, the readers. It’ll be a nice opportunity to see how you stack up against the experts. More details to come.
Now that I’ve succeeded at mentioning a Disney princess in a fantasy football post, I’ll just wish you all total dominance in your fantasy football drafts. Good luck!
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