As the Fifth Down has done several times already this season, we will be using a Web feature from Advanced NFL Stats that charts win probability live during today’s Jets-Patriots game.
A quick recap of what this chart will be showing: Win probability measures just that — the probability that each team will win the game at any moment. This, of course, varies with the twists and turns of each game, so an early lead raises the odds a team will win, but a turnover or a big play can turn it around.
Here’s last week’s graphic from the Jets-Ravens game (it will update to the Jets-Patriots graphic when they kick off at 4:15 p.m.):
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